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  • Iran’s Demographic Gamble: A State Program Losing Air

    Despite multi-billion-toman plans to promote childbearing, marriage and fertility continue to plunge — the Supreme Leader’s demographic ambitions may be slipping out of reach. By mid-2025, Iran recorded a 7 percent drop in births compared to the same period in 2024, and over 12 percent relative to 2

  • Iran’s Energy Black Hole: 40% of Gas and Power Lost Before Use

    IOD’s analysis reveals that nearly half of Iran’s energy is wasted before reaching users—costing billions and exposing deep structural failures. Despite holding the world’s second-largest gas reserves, Iran wastes more energy than almost any other country. Each day, 86m cubic metres of natural gas v

  • Inside Iran’s $2.4 Billion Arbitration Defeat: What the UK Court Ruling Reveals about the Hidden Costs of Energy Disputes

    London’s Court of Appeal has upheld enforcement of a $2.4bn gas arbitration against NIOC, paving the way for asset seizures in Iran’s costliest commercial defeat. London’s Court of Appeal has upheld enforcement of a $2.4bn gas arbitration against NIOC, paving the way for asset seizures in Iran’s cos

  • The $182m Series That Still Has No Start Date

    IOD has found that the combined state allocation for Moses and its sister series Salman the Persian has reached 9.1tn tomans ($182m) over the last four years. From 700bn tomans in 2022 to 4tn in 2025, the budget has ballooned despite no completed production. How a state-backed Moses epic became the

  • Iran Tops Middle East in Groundwater Depletion, Ranks Fifth Globally

    IOD’s analysis of UN data reveals Iran as the Middle East’s leading extractor of groundwater, and fifth globally after India, China, the US, and Pakistan. Overuse has placed hundreds of aquifers in critical condition, with land subsidence threatening major cities and “Day Zero” looming in Tehran. IO

  • Iran’s Crypto Mining Share May Reach 15% Amid Power Surges and Capital Flight

    IOD’s analysis finds Iran’s crypto mining footprint could account for up to 15% of global activity—driven by subsidised electricity and large-scale operations. A 2,400 MW power drop during a blackout revealed the hidden scale of the sector. IOD’s analysis finds Iran’s crypto mining footprint could a

  • Iran’s Mining Wealth Fails to Lift Provincial Incomes

    IOD’s analysis finds no correlation between Iran’s provincial mining resources and local economic wellbeing. Provinces rich in mines often remain poor, while low-resource areas post stronger welfare indicators. IOD’s analysis finds no correlation between Iran’s provincial mining resources and local

  • Iran’s Grain Puzzle: Output Surges, Imports Soar

    IOD’s analysis finds a 60% increase in Iran’s reported grain production since 2011 has coincided with a fourfold jump in grain imports—now exceeding $8bn annually. Official data clashes with international estimates, raising fresh doubts over Tehran’s agricultural self-sufficiency claims. IOD’s analy

  • Iran’s Waste Problem Isn’t the Public

    IOD’s analysis finds that most food and energy waste in Iran stems from systemic inefficiencies, not consumer behavior. Official narratives blaming citizens misrepresent both domestic and global data. IOD’s analysis finds that most food and energy waste in Iran stems from systemic inefficiencies, no

  • IRGC Budget Nearly Twice That of Army in 2025

    IOD analysis of Iran’s 1404 budget law finds the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) allocated over 311tn tomans ($6bn), about 1.8 times the regular army’s 177tn tomans ($3.4bn). The figures exclude opaque extra-budgetary funding. SignalIOD analysis of Iran’s 2025 budget law finds the Islamic R

  • Iran’s Soaring Debt Fuels Inflation Crisis, Now Ranks 5th Worldwide

    Over the past decade, Iran’s economy has endured one of the most intense inflation waves in its modern history, driven largely by unchecked government borrowing and money printing, according to newly compiled data from Iran Open Data. Over the past decade, Iran’s economy has endured one of the most

  • Iran’s Plan to Drop Four Zeros Won’t Stop Inflation’s Toll

    Iran’s parliament is set to vote on removing four zeros from its currency, making 10,000 rials equal to 1 new rial. But with inflation over 40% for five years, experts warn the plan may simplify math, not solve deeper economic problems. The big picture:Iran’s Parliament is set to vote on a long-dela